Economic policy uncertainty and presidential approval: Evidence from Latin America.

Economic policy uncertainty and presidential approval: Evidence from Latin America.

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This paper analyzes the extent to which economic crewman talc policy uncertainty affects presidential approval in four Latin American countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico).Using panel (time-series cross-sectional) estimation methods, we show that economic policy uncertainty has a negative impact on presidential approval in our sample.A one-standard-deviation increase in the level of economic uncertainty reduces presidential approval by approximately 12 percent.Our results are consistent with the political economy model of Alesina et al.(1993), which shows that voters are less likely to re-elect the motovox scooter parts incumbent when faced with uncertainty about economic policy.

Incumbent competence signalling can exarcerbate this effect.